What pattern do you see in the following premises?
When p occurs, the most observed is q
q will probably occur
|When I tidy my room, my parents are often happy.|
I tidied my room this morning.
My parents will probably be happy
A is the population
B is the population of careful eaters with heart disease.
Some percentage of all A’s will become B’s.
A has x% chance of being a B.
|70% of careful eaters avoid heart disease.|
Bill is a careful eater.
Bill has a 70% chance of avoiding heart disease.
|Hypothesis:||Jim robbed the corner store.|
|Observations expected:||Whoever robbed the store will have a motive, opportunity, and means.|
|Observations noted:||Jim needed money, was in the area, and was found with a replica of a gun.|
|Conclusion:||There is evidence supporting the hypothesis that Jim robbed the corner store.|
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